The normal American consumer spends more. This started after 2008 with the economic meltdown.
The index of spending and income shows a growth the last 6 months. An increase in expenditure of 0.6 percent in March was rather normal and we also see that the income rose, but not so fast.
"The key point is that household spending can only be supported if we get better income growth," said Joel Naroff, chief economist at Naroff Economic Advisors, in Holland, Pa.. "This is going to take lasting job gains."
On Friday the Labor Department releases the April employment report and Naroff said he expects to see a slight gain in jobs. On the other side he said that much of those gains might come from companies that are infilling jobs, which should have been filled during the last six months. They may look stronger than in reality.
The whole process of spending more and more is good to recover the economy but Naroff said this trend couldn’t be sustained.
"Since income growth fell short of the shopping spree so, to pay for everything people had to use up some of their savings," Naroff said. "That led to another decline in the savings rate."
A negative point is that despite of the increased spending, the normal consumer ‘s confidence remains very low! This can also evolve with the expected rise in unemployment.
Nowadays, the prices of products have gone up (2 percent) while people buy the same. If we look at the energy and food costs, we see a staggering increase of 18.7 percent since March 2009. While many other prices remain stable, food and energy make up large portions of the typical consumers' budget, which explains the increase in expenditure.
It’s really a worldwide problem and another result of the crisis. I think that the negative points will eventually overtake the positive points. The economy needs to recover over and over again. I hope that we will have some reserve within a few months. And we all see that the price of some products is absolutely exaggerated. Let’s hope this factor will restore itself.
By Karen Mechelinck-2 FV 4
Source: http://www.consumeraffairs.com/news04/2010/05/consumer-spending.html